Geopolitical Risk Advisory
With globalisation slowing in recent years and geopolitics on the rise, the global order is undergoing significant and fundamental change ─ with the outcome not yet certain. Advancing technologies, access to data and natural resources have long since been an important element of geopolitical competition, with a rapidly changing regulatory landscape to keep pace ─ this interplay can create a complex landscape for organisations to navigate. With change comes challenge, but it also offers opportunities. Our Geopolitical Advisory Services enables companies to better manage the risks associated with the geopolitical renaissance and to recognise opportunities at an early stage.
The return of geopolitics and its implications for companies is seen across four strategic developments:
Hybrid Globalisation
As governments are seeking to gain control over key markets and companies are de-risking, not only their supply chains but also production sites and markets, globalisation is giving way to the emergence of political and economic blocs. Trade within blocs increases while trade between blocs decreases . Globalisation is not coming to an end, but the world is becoming increasingly fragmented, leading companies to consider where to focus their activity, as well as the risks and costs associated with continuing operations in other locations.
Geoeconomics
This increasingly politicised business environment leads to regulatory uncertainty, with governments having a higher level of intervention into the private sector. Sudden shifts in trade policies, tax or labour laws demand close examination of political processes and continuous adaption to new rules. Meanwhile, tariffs, quotas and sanctions can shrink the space for economic activity and hike opportunity costs.
Technology and Data are Political
Control over technology and data has become a new variable in geopolitical competition. Already, geopolitical competition is creating isolated technology ecosystems and forcing companies to operate in incompatible systems, increasing operating costs and limiting market reach. Cyber espionage threatens intellectual property worldwide.
War and Conflicts Return
Global trade and commerce are negatively impacted by the resurgence of war and conflict. Civil wars, unrest and demonstrations are on the rise in many regions of the world. This brings more volatility into markets and currencies, impacting companies especially hard when conducting cross-border trade. Organisations need to be aware of the reputational risks that arise from conducting business in a politically charged environment.
Services
Geopolitical Intelligence
Political Due Diligence: We support clients’ decisions and risk mitigation plans by providing comprehensive...
Political Due Diligence:
- We support clients’ decisions and risk mitigation plans by providing comprehensive analyses of the target country’s political, economic, social, technological, environmental and legal risks, embedding our insights into the country’s wider geopolitical positioning and outlook.
Geopolitical Monitoring:
- Based on a standardised methodology, we identify clients’ key risk and opportunity areas.
- We monitor relevant and priority risk areas and prepare briefings on new developments and opportunities.
Geopolitical Risk, Compliance & Opportunity Management
Risk Exposure and Opportunity Analysis: We assess our clients’ gross-net risk profile as well as opportunities,...
Risk Exposure and Opportunity Analysis:
- We assess our clients’ gross-net risk profile as well as opportunities, providing the foundation for cost-effective and targeted management of geopolitical risks and opportunities.
- Our assessment is based on a standardised methodology.
Integrated Geopolitical Risk, Compliance and Opportunity Management:
- We support in establishing integrated geopolitical risk, compliance and opportunity management systems.
- This includes the analysis of your current methodologies, tools and governance, identification of gaps to leading practices and proposing a performance improvement roadmap.
- Additionally, we offer digitized managed services solutions to fulfil your regulatory and reporting requirements
Geopolitical Crisis Management
Geopolitical Crisis Management: Our experts guide you through the business challenges of a geopolitical crisis. Our...
Geopolitical Crisis Management:
- Our experts guide you through the business challenges of a geopolitical crisis.
- Our services include event monitoring, situation briefings, damage assessments, crisis communication and crisis governance. All tailored to enter emerge stronger from the crisis event.
- We offer 24/7 crisis management services to provide you with expertise and resources to get operational challenges under control quickly. Our management and business consultants, security and forensics experts as well as cyber experts are always ready to avoid and mitigate the impact.
Geopolitical Crisis Handbook:
- We prepare a company-specific handbook for managing geopolitical crises as an integrated element of an overall risk, compliance and opportunity management system following COSO frameworks.
- This is preceded by an assessment of your current risk, compliance and crisis management capabilities as well as your relevant strategic components to enable the creation of a tailored guideline for your success.
Geopolitical Crisis Workshop
- We conduct company-specific geopolitical crisis management exercises.
- Involving key stakeholders from your organisations, we simulate worst case scenarios to enhance your crisis preparedness and ability to respond.
C-Suite Services
Geopolitical Strategy Consulting: We support our clients in choosing the right strategy – whether it's...
Geopolitical Strategy Consulting:
- We support our clients in choosing the right strategy – whether it's de-risking, decoupling or doubling down.
- We aim at to strike a balance between risk and opportunities, based on your individual global footprint.
Scenario Development and C-Level Workshops:
- We develop company-specific scenarios, identifying key drivers and potential damaging events.
- Together with our clients, we discuss scenarios and develop actions in a workshop setting.
Scenario Impact Analysis:
- We assess the impact of different scenarios on your business including the calculation of potential losses from possible damaging events.
- This gives a clear indication for your risk mitigation priorities.
